Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.Malaysia's palm oil output in November was 1.62 million tons, down 9.80% from October.Baiao Intelligent: Cancel the absorption and merger of wholly-owned subsidiaries. Baiao Intelligent announced on December 10 that the company intends to cancel the absorption and merger of wholly-owned subsidiaries Kunshan Baisente Materials and Materials Co., Ltd. and Kunshan Baiao Intelligent Logistics Co., Ltd. in consideration of the actual operation and business development plan of the company. This termination will not lead to changes in the scope of the company's merger, the actual rights and interests held by the company will not change, it will not adversely affect the company's production and operation, and there will be no harm to the interests of the company and shareholders.
Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock: I'm not sure if we will cut interest rates in February. It will be necessary to pay attention to the slowdown in data, wages and demand. If the inflation rate does not drop, then we will face another problem.Sources: Boeing restarted the production of 737 MAX last week. Sources said that about one month after the strike ended, Boeing restarted the production of 737 MAX aircraft last week.Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock: The upward inflation risk under discussion has eased, but it has not disappeared. We need to see more progress in basic inflation.
The turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1.5 trillion, exceeding 430 billion compared with yesterday.Morgan Stanley published a research report that Jingdong Logistics management predicted that the net profit growth in FY 2024 would increase by 49% year-on-year, far exceeding the bank's expected 30% increase. As for the profit growth forecast for next year, it is 9% year-on-year. The bank also believes that the acquisition of Jingdong Logistics across the remaining rights and interests of Express is positive and is expected to have further synergy. Morgan Stanley set the target price of H shares of Jingdong Logistics at HK$ 13.1, giving it a rating of "keeping pace with the market".Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock: The upward inflation risk under discussion has eased, but it has not disappeared. We need to see more progress in basic inflation.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13